Været.orgLong-range forecastTromsø

30-day forecast · Tromsø

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Tromsø

14 real + 16 synthesised
Tue · Today Drizzle
+11° +9° 8,7 mm
Wed · Tomorrow Showers
+10° +9° 4,7 mm
Thursday 23/7 Partly cloudy
+11° +8° 0,2 mm
Friday 24/7 Showers
+13° +8° 1,1 mm
Saturday 25/7 Cloudy
+13° +8° 2,3 mm
Sunday 26/7 Drizzle
+13° +11° 6,3 mm
Monday 27/7 Showers
+14° +10° 8,8 mm
Tuesday 28/7 Partly cloudy
+13° +8° 26%
Wednesday 29/7 Showers
+12° +7° 0,5 mm
Thursday 30/7 Clear
+15° +7° 0,3 mm
Friday 31/7 Showers
+11° +10° 1,0 mm
Saturday 1/8 Showers
+10° +9° 21,3 mm
Sunday 2/8 Showers
+10° +9° 3,3 mm
Monday 3/8 Showers
+9° +8° 19,5 mm
Tuesday 4/8 Rain (climate normal)
+14° +8° 9,0 mm
Wednesday 5/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+16° +9° 20%
Thursday 6/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+18° +10° 20%
Friday 7/8 Rain (climate normal)
+16° +9° 5,7 mm
Saturday 8/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+14° +8° 20%
Sunday 9/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+10° +6° 20%
Monday 10/8 Rain (climate normal)
+13° +8° 7,1 mm
Tuesday 11/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+15° +8° 20%
Wednesday 12/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+15° +8° 20%
Thursday 13/8 Rain (climate normal)
+16° +10° 5,7 mm
Friday 14/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+16° +9° 20%
Saturday 15/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+13° +7° 20%
Sunday 16/8 Rain (climate normal)
+13° +7° 8,7 mm
Monday 17/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+12° +7° 20%
Tuesday 18/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+13° +8° 20%
Wednesday 19/8 Rain (climate normal)
+16° +9° 10,1 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 02:42