Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.
The forecast for Tromsø and the places around it comes from the same weather models as the place pages. Radar: RainViewer, images from the last two hours.
30 days — Tromsø
14 real + 16 synthesised
Tue · Today Clear
+10°+6°7,8 mm
Wed · Tomorrow Clear
+6°+4°8%
Thursday 22/10 Cloudy
+6°+3°14%
Friday 23/10 Clear
+7°+5°13%
Saturday 24/10 Clear
+7°+3°0,5 mm
Sunday 25/10 Clear
+5°+3°13%
Monday 26/10 Cloudy
+5°+3°23%
Tuesday 27/10 Clear
+5°+3°5,1 mm
Wednesday 28/10 Cloudy
+4°+3°3,3 mm
Thursday 29/10 Cloudy
+5°+4°12,6 mm
Friday 30/10 Showers
+6°+4°13,3 mm
Saturday 31/10 Light rain
+8°+4°17,1 mm
Sunday 1/11 Heavy rain
+6°+2°11,7 mm
Monday 2/11 Snow
+3°+2°4,4 mm
Tuesday 3/11 Rain (climate normal)
0°-4°11,7 mm
Wednesday 4/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+2°-3°20%
Thursday 5/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+4°-2°20%
Friday 6/11 Rain (climate normal)
+2°-3°7,4 mm
Saturday 7/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
0°-4°20%
Sunday 8/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-4°-6°20%
Monday 9/11 Rain (climate normal)
-1°-5°9,2 mm
Tuesday 10/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+1°-4°20%
Wednesday 11/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+1°-4°20%
Thursday 12/11 Rain (climate normal)
+2°-3°7,4 mm
Friday 13/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+2°-3°20%
Saturday 14/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-1°-5°20%
Sunday 15/11 Rain (climate normal)
-1°-5°11,3 mm
Monday 16/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-2°-5°20%
Tuesday 17/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-1°-4°20%
Wednesday 18/11 Rain (climate normal)
+2°-3°13,1 mm
How does the long-range forecast work?
Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.
Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.
Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.