Været.orgLong-range forecastTromsø

30-day forecast · Tromsø

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Tromsø

14 real + 16 synthesised
Fri · Today Showers
+8° +6° 1,8 mm
Sat · Tomorrow Partly cloudy
+7° +5° 13%
Sunday 6/9 Clear
+8° +5° 7%
Monday 7/9 Clear
+10° +6° 0,3 mm
Tuesday 8/9 Cloudy
+13° +7° 14%
Wednesday 9/9 Cloudy
+12° +7° 19%
Thursday 10/9 Clear
+12° +7° 9%
Friday 11/9 Clear
+11° +7° 10%
Saturday 12/9 Clear
+13° +8° 9%
Sunday 13/9 Cloudy
+12° +9° 17%
Monday 14/9 Cloudy
+11° +9° 0,8 mm
Tuesday 15/9 Showers
+9° +7° 7,3 mm
Wednesday 16/9 Showers
+7° +4° 3,4 mm
Thursday 17/9 Cloudy
+7° +4° 5,2 mm
Friday 18/9 Rain (climate normal)
+9° +5° 11,8 mm
Saturday 19/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+11° +6° 20%
Sunday 20/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+13° +7° 20%
Monday 21/9 Rain (climate normal)
+11° +6° 7,5 mm
Tuesday 22/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+9° +5° 20%
Wednesday 23/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+5° +3° 20%
Thursday 24/9 Rain (climate normal)
+8° +5° 9,3 mm
Friday 25/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+10° +5° 20%
Saturday 26/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+10° +5° 20%
Sunday 27/9 Rain (climate normal)
+11° +7° 7,5 mm
Monday 28/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+11° +6° 20%
Tuesday 29/9 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+8° +4° 20%
Wednesday 30/9 Rain (climate normal)
+8° +4° 11,4 mm
Thursday 1/10 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+2° -1° 20%
Friday 2/10 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+3° 20%
Saturday 3/10 Rain (climate normal)
+6° +1° 14,2 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 05:05