Været.orgLong-range forecastÅlesund

30-day forecast · Ålesund

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Ålesund

14 real + 16 synthesised
Tue · Today Partly cloudy
+14° +13° 2,5 mm
Wed · Tomorrow Showers
+13° +12° 1,2 mm
Thursday 23/7 Partly cloudy
+14° +12° 12%
Friday 24/7 Showers
+14° +13° 10,3 mm
Saturday 25/7 Showers
+14° +12° 11,3 mm
Sunday 26/7 Showers
+13° +12° 1,3 mm
Monday 27/7 Partly cloudy
+13° +12° 2,6 mm
Tuesday 28/7 Clear
+13° +12° 8%
Wednesday 29/7 Showers
+15° +13° 1,0 mm
Thursday 30/7 Showers
+15° +14° 2,9 mm
Friday 31/7 Showers
+14° +13° 8,9 mm
Saturday 1/8 Clear
+15° +14° 15%
Sunday 2/8 Clear
+15° +14° 1,2 mm
Monday 3/8 Drizzle
+14° +12° 9,5 mm
Tuesday 4/8 Rain (climate normal)
+15° +11° 10,2 mm
Wednesday 5/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+17° +11° 20%
Thursday 6/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+18° +12° 20%
Friday 7/8 Rain (climate normal)
+17° +12° 16,2 mm
Saturday 8/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+14° +10° 20%
Sunday 9/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+12° +9° 20%
Monday 10/8 Rain (climate normal)
+14° +10° 15,8 mm
Tuesday 11/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+17° +12° 20%
Wednesday 12/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+19° +13° 20%
Thursday 13/8 Rain (climate normal)
+18° +12° 14,1 mm
Friday 14/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+17° +11° 20%
Saturday 15/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+15° +10° 20%
Sunday 16/8 Rain (climate normal)
+12° +9° 14,1 mm
Monday 17/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+15° +11° 20%
Tuesday 18/8 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+15° +11° 20%
Wednesday 19/8 Rain (climate normal)
+18° +12° 10,2 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.

Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.

Official weather data from MET Norway (Norwegian Meteorological Institute) · MET Norway · NILU · NVE · Open-Meteo
Updated: 02:43