Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on climate normals 1991-2020 (MET) — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.
The forecast for Harstad and the places around it comes from the same weather models as the place pages. Radar: RainViewer, images from the last two hours.
30 days — Harstad
14 real + 16 synthesised
Mon · Today Light rain
+10°+7°45,1 mm
Tue · Tomorrow Clear
+10°+6°4,5 mm
Wednesday 21/10 Clear
+8°+5°8%
Thursday 22/10 Cloudy
+8°+6°17%
Friday 23/10 Cloudy
+8°+6°0,3 mm
Saturday 24/10 Clear
+7°+4°0,6 mm
Sunday 25/10 Clear
+6°+3°13%
Monday 26/10 Cloudy
+6°+3°0,3 mm
Tuesday 27/10 Cloudy
+6°+3°22%
Wednesday 28/10 Cloudy
+5°+2°6,4 mm
Thursday 29/10 Drizzle
+6°+4°12,3 mm
Friday 30/10 Showers
+6°+4°2,9 mm
Saturday 31/10 Showers
+4°+2°8,2 mm
Sunday 1/11 Showers
+4°+2°2,6 mm
Monday 2/11 Rain (climate normal)
-5°-9°5,1 mm
Tuesday 3/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-3°-8°20%
Wednesday 4/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-5°-9°20%
Thursday 5/11 Rain (climate normal)
-4°-9°7,1 mm
Friday 6/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-8°-11°20%
Saturday 7/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-9°-12°20%
Sunday 8/11 Rain (climate normal)
-9°-12°9,7 mm
Monday 9/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-7°-11°20%
Tuesday 10/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-5°-9°20%
Wednesday 11/11 Rain (climate normal)
-4°-9°4,6 mm
Thursday 12/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-6°-10°20%
Friday 13/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-6°-10°20%
Saturday 14/11 Rain (climate normal)
-9°-12°8,5 mm
Sunday 15/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-8°-11°20%
Monday 16/11 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
-5°-9°20%
Tuesday 17/11 Rain (climate normal)
-3°-8°7,8 mm
How does the long-range forecast work?
Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability about 85 % for days 1-3, about 60 % for days 7-10, about 45 % for days 11-14.
Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the monthly average Tmax/Tmin from climate normals 1991-2020, with mild weekly variation.
Use: «About how warm is it usually in Oslo the last week of July?» — a good question for days 15-30. «Will it rain on 27 May?» — no serious forecast can answer that.